Weekly Capsule (Nov 05 – Nov 09) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
Asian markets lose nearly $4.3 trillion in market cap as dollar strengthens
  • Energy and new technology companies like Tencent have been the major losers in the Asian sell-off
  • With most currencies vulnerable to a weak dollar and a weak Yuan, the market correction just got exacerbated
NBFC CP repayment comes back to haunt as the year comes to a close
  • Indian NBFCs have billions of dollars of CP to be repaid by the end of December and defaults are a clear possibility
  • While NBFCs like Edelweiss and India Infoline have bought back some of their CPs, bank funding is the big question
Rupee showed a sharp appreciation to 72.50/$ on Friday
  • The jump in the rupee was largely driven by weak prices of Brent Crude which dipped below the $70/bbl mark
  • The dollar also weakened after the Democrats put in a better than expected show in the mid-term elections in the US
Equity mutual fund collections touch a record Rs.12,622 crore in October
  • Out of the total flows, nearly Rs.7,965 crore came in via the systematic investment plan (SIP) route alone
  • These smart inflows, despite the sharp correction in the markets, is surely a gratifying sign for markets
Sobha becomes one more realty company to show healthy profits
  • Net profits at Sobha, a South-based realtor, was up by 21% at Rs.61.30 crore in the second quarter
  • Growth in top line and the bottom line was driven by higher sales off taking in the southern region
Bharti Airtel International begins buyback of $1.5 billion of its bonds
  • The company is making use of the proceeds from anchor investors to repay its global debt
  • These bonds were due only in 2023 but Bharti is trying to deleverage its balance sheet for its India price war
India’s growth held back by note ban and GST, says Raghuram Rajan
  • Rajan has underscored that the adjustment may take time and the 7% growth in GDP may just not be enough
  • Rajan has called 7% growth the new Hindu Rate of Growth, which was defined as 3.5% in the past
Nifty and Sensex post first weekly gain in the last two months
  • The Nifty and the Sensex benefited from weak global crude prices and from a return of stability in domestic markets
  • However, global headwinds and the domestic liquidity challenge still remain concerns
Saudi Arabia and Iraq may coordinate supplies ahead of OPEC meeting
  • With Brent Crude falling sharply below the $70/bbl mark, OPEC members have been debating another supply cut
  • OPEC members are wary that the current rate of production could again lead to an oil surplus in 2019
Digital transactions soar to Rs.245 crore in the month of August 2018
  • This roughly reflects a three-fold rise from the corresponding period in Oct 2016 when demonetization was launched
  • These exclude credit and debit card transactions and are those done on the BHIM and the UPI app
Finance Ministry seeks review of central bank balance sheet
  • Finance ministry officials have denied seeking capital support from the RBI to shore up government resources
  • It is feared that if the government insists on RBI funding then the RBI governor may be forced to resign
Farmers don’t bite bait to sell their produce in the open market
  • The government permission to sell farm produce outside the APMC has not found too many takers among farmers
  • This hesitation was due to a lack of awareness and APMC still being the most profitable avenue for small farmers
Dr. Reddy Labs gets 5 repeat observations for its Duvvada plant
  • Repeat observations are normally taken by the FDA very seriously as it shows wilful lack of compliance
  • The Duvvada plant accounts for nearly 20% of all future filings of Reddy Labs and will impact its profitability
Titan profit misses estimates even as margins show shrinkage
  • Net profits rose by a mere 3% at Rs.314 crore, representing its lowest quarterly profit in the last 2 years
  • The weak growth in profits despite healthy growth in revenues reflects a clear case of margin compression
TCS to go on trial in the US over racial discrimination
  • The company will have to answer to court on cases of discrimination against local American employees
  • TCS and Infosys had aggressively recruited local Americans to subdue the furor over H1-B visas to the US
SBI reported Rs.945 crore net profit during the week
  • The SBI profit was a major boost to the banking sector as SBI returned to profits after four quarters
  • Not only did the gross NPAs fall below 10%, but the provisions halved and the NIMs expanded during the quarter.
S&P placed Tata Motors on “Credit Watch” during the week
  • The Credit Watch status could actually impact the borrowing costs of JLR and Tata Motors in global markets
  • JLR has taken a serious hit on the back of a distinct weakness in Chinese demand, a key market for JLR
Iran sanctions go life but in a largely diluted manner
  • A total of 8 countries including India, China, Japan, and Korea have been exempted from the ban on buying oil from China
  • With exemptions also given to Iraq to source gas from Iran, the original intent of sanctions are largely diluted
Services sector reported a PMI of 52.2%, a three month high
  • This comes in the aftermath of the better than expected surge in PMI manufacturing too
  • The services sector has seen a distinct pick up in order inflows and also in pricing power
FPIs sell nearly Rs.39,000 crore in the month of October
  • Selling was dominated in equities with nearly Rs.29,000 crore of selling and the balance in debt
  • Apart from valuation concerns, domestic problems with the rupee value also exacerbated the equity selling
Finance Ministry to finalize Rs.54,000 crore capital infusion for PSBs
  • This will be largely be designed to increase the credit growth to the MSME sector India
  • Government is also looking to free up funds by diluting the restrictions on credit creation by PCA banks