| Trigger for the Week |
How will it impact? |
| Banks and financials to react positively to the monetary policy |
- Financials are likely to be impressed by the liquidity infusion although the rates status quo was maintained
|
| Real estate stocks likely to be in action in the coming week |
- The RBI instruction not to downgrade realty debt for another year and CRR benefits likely to be positive
|
| Trends in the China virus pandemic could be the key to global cues |
- While the death toll has crossed 750, the Indian market will be looking at the Chinese stimulus impact
|
| Delhi elections could dampen spirits if NDA puts up a weak performance |
- If, as indicated by exit polls, the NDA performs below par, the markets are likely to react negatively on 11th
|
| Oil prices could hold the key after touching a yearly low of $54/bbl |
- The pandemic fears and the US excess supply risk are likely to keep oil prices under pressure, which is positive
|
| Focus will largely be on the auto sector and realty revival this week |
- They could revive as both these sectors got a reprieve from CRR maintenance on incremental loans
|
| FIIs have been selling but domestic institutions are buying |
- Normally, FII selling has an oversized impact on markets and the flows in equity and debt will be crucial
|
| Keep an eye on the value of the rupee that corrected to 71.40/$ |
- Rupee could weaken due to strong dollar and weak FII flows; something negative for equity markets
|
| Big numbers expected this week from last phase of Q3 results |
- The week sees big results from GAIL, CIL, BPCL, ONGC, BHEL, Oil India, Hindalco; which could hold the key
|
| CPI inflation will be released on February 12th with IIP data |
- Inflation at 7.35% in Dec-19 will be key input as will IIP, which had bounced to positive in Nov-19
|
| The markets will keep an eye on the dividend payout announcements |
- It is expected that many cash rich companies may dole out generous dividends post budget DDT impact
|
| DMART may be in action due to the QIP just announced |
- The QIP of DMART will be the key to judging the appetite that global investors have for Indian paper
|
| Correction on Friday after the weekly rally could be an overhang |
- After the sharp rally post budget and credit policy, the market may bide its time in the coming week
|
| Some key global data points also need to be watched this week |
- These points include Fed Testimony, US inflation and jobless claims, Euro area IIP and GDP and China inflation
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