| Trigger for the Week |
How will it impact? |
| Fallout of the US drone attacks will be the key trigger for the week |
- If Iran retaliates even in a small way, it is likely to impact the oil and equity markets in a big way this week
|
| Oil prices in Brent market could hold the key to the week |
- If Brent settles above $72 during the week, it could create problems for trade deficit and for aviation stocks
|
| FII action will have to tracked after they sold Rs.2420 crore in 3 days |
- The FII selling was largely driven by risk off selling in EMs and Iran is likely to keep them cautious in the week
|
| Expectations are also built around signals on the trade deal |
- While the US-China deal is scheduled on Jan 15, positive cues from China will be seen as a stimulus hint
|
| Rupee plunged on Friday and could hold the key to the week |
- The sharp spike in oil prices led to the rupee weakening and it remains to be seen if RBI supports around 72/$
|
| Earnings week will commence and that will be a key trigger |
- Apart from big guns like Infosys and Avenue Supermart, there are small companies also in the list
|
| Infosys guidance will be watched for any upgrades this week |
- This quarter, Infosys is expected to up its revenue guidance by around 40 bps to 9.5% which is positive
|
| Keep an eye on gold prices that crossed Rs.40,000/10 grams |
- Gold has risen sharply on geopolitical risk one must watch for jewelry and gold loan stocks
|
| China to announce inflation and industrial production numbers |
- More than inflation, world markets will be watching the IIP numbers of China for hints on stimulus
|
| VIX has rallied and could hold the key to market volatility this week |
- The VIX went up from 10.49 to 12.69 and any VIX level of above 15 could trigger volatility in the markets
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| The Tata / Mistry case will be closely followed for Tata stocks |
- Markets are hoping for an amicable settlement to the issue, which could be a booster for the stock markets
|
| Markets will be watching progress on divestment of Air India |
- The bigger issue of interest is whether it will result in a change in the FDI policy on aviation sector
|
| Metal stocks could be on the radar on China stimulus hopes |
- After the $115 billion stimulus, China is expected to give an additional stimulus and boost metals demand
|
| Cues on the budget with respect to income tax will be closely watched |
- Any cues on tax rate cuts and LTCG will be a boost for the market sentiments this week
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