Weekly Capsule (Dec 30 – Jan 03) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
Tata  group has moved the Supreme Court against the NCLAT order
  • The Tata Group had appealed against the NCLAT order reinstating Mistry as chairman of Tata Sons
  • Tatas have appealed against the NCLAT order as being biased and being a threat to the powers of corporate boards
Bharti gets approval to raise close to $3 billion in the form of debt and equity
  • These funds will be utilized to clear the AGR dues to the DOT and also to have a war chest for expansion
  • Bharti has been aggressively monetizing assets and also raising capital to compete effectively with Jio
Geopolitical risk is back to haunt the Middle East after US bombs Iran
  • The US carried out a drone attack on a top functionary of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards to protect US security
  • Trump has accused Iran of deliberately attacking US targets in Iraq. Crude prices were up by 4% on the day of the attack
Chinese central bank infuses $115 billion into the economy
  • This liquidity infusion was done by way of cutting the statutory reserve ratios for banks
  • The global metals sector has been waiting for a serious Chinese stimulus pending the trade deal with the US
Forex reserves touched a record $457 billion during the week
  • Forex reserves have consistently grown due to limited intervention by the RBI in dollar buying
  • The sharply higher forex reserves combined with falling imports makes the situation comfortable for trade position
DSP Mutual Fund makes big profits going long on G-Sec bonds
  • DSP MF was one of the few mutual funds to really benefit from the Operation Twist of the RBI
  • The purchase of long term bonds led to a fall in long term yields and created hefty profits for the fund
SBI to sell 1.01% stake in NSE by selling 5 million shares in the IPO
  • NSE IPO to give an exit option to most of the institutional investors looking to monetize holdings
  • SBI is looking to monetize a number of its holdings including its stake in subsidiaries like AMC and cards business
Gold prices in India scales past  the Rs.41,000 /10 gram mark
  • Indian gold prices are at an all-time high due to a combination of high global prices and weak rupee
  • Gold prices were also helped during the week after the drone attacks on Iran worsened the geopolitical situation
Rishad Premji to be non-executive chairman of Wipro
  • This is in line with the latest SEBI policy to separate the role of the chairman and the CEO of the company
  • This could also mean that officially, Rishad will not be involved in the day to day management of the company
Adani SEZ to buy 75% in Krishnapatnam Port for Rs.13,572 crore
  • Adani is already the largest port operator and this gives them a foothold in the East Coast of India
  • India has been building up trade with its eastern neighbours and that should gel perfectly with this acquisition
Suzlon offers 68% haircut on loans for banks ahead of NCLT
  • This is far more than the 50% haircut that the banks were agreeable to in the case of Suzlon
  • If the banks do not agree to the 68% haircut, then the only choice will be to liquidate the company under NCLT
Sugar output fell by nearly 30% to 7.79 million tonnes for first 3 months
  • The sharp fall in sugar output was largely on account of the steep drop in sugar production in the state of Maharashtra
  • The fall in supply has been instrumental in holding up sugar prices and helping the cause of the sugar mills
Bajaj does better than Hero Moto in two wheeler sales growth
  • For the month of December 2019, the overall sales of Bajaj Auto fell by 3% largely helped by 13% growth in exports
  • It is due to its predominance of exports that Bajaj has been able to dominate the two wheeler space growth
Indian indices touched all time highs during the week
  • The sharp in the markets was largely led by the hopes of a trade deal and the Chinese stimulus
  • On the domestic front, the FM is going aggressive on infra and budget expectations are keeping markets hopeful
Aviation minister, Puri, warns that Air India needs divestment to survive
  • Air India is currently losing nearly Rs.20 crore per day and has overall debt of Rs.60,000 crore in its books
  • The divestment may not happen in this fiscal as the FDI policy on aviation and land monetization is yet to be worked out
Operation twist is back for the third time on 06 January
  • Operation Twist is expected to taper yields at the long end and benefit holders of long duration bonds
  • It is also expected that by forcing long end yields down, the Operation Twist may also result in better transmission
Core sector growth comes in at -1.5% for the month of November 2019
  • This is the fourth successive month that core sector growth has been negative
  • This time around, there were pockets of growth within specific sectors like cement and oil refining in the core sector mix
GST revenues for the month of December crossed Rs.1 trillion
  • On a MOM basis, the GST revenues were up by 9% and it was the third occasion of above Rs.1 trillion GST this year
  • India needs GST revenues of close to Rs.1.25 trillion in the last 3 months to get close to the full year target
Fiscal deficit widens, current account deficit under check
  • Fiscal deficit had already touched 115% of full year target by November making the 3.3% target quite infeasible
  • Current account deficit came down sharply to 0.9% of GDP largely due to a sharp fall in trade deficit post weak imports
NASDAQ gains 38% for the full year 2019 making it a star performer
  • The NASDAQ rally has been led by a handful of stocks like Apple, Microsoft, Facebook and Amazon
  • Despite crossing the 9,000 mark, the valuations at 27X P/E is way below the valuations in year 2000
CARE ratings downgrades Yes Bank bonds worth Rs.21,000 crore
  • The downgrade was largely on account of doubts over the ability of Yes Bank to raise equity capital on time
  • The core capital of Yes Bank is down to 8.6% against the statutory requirement of 8% as per Basel guidelines