Weekly Capsule (Jan 06 – Jan 10) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
Infosys reports 23% growth in profits for December quarter on YOY basis
  • Apart from the profit growth, the company has also guided for higher revenue growth at closer to 10.5%
  • Additionally, Infosys has also guided the operating margins to stabilize in the range of 21-22% in the next one year
Internal audit investigation gives clean chit to Infosys in whistleblower case
  • The whistleblower allegation pertained to inappropriate reporting by the company to jack up valuations
  • While the internal audit team led by Shardul Amerchand Mangaldas has given clean chit, SEC decision is awaited
Steel Ministry exploring $70 billion investments in Eastern region
  • Most of these regions have been ideal for steel production due to proximity to raw material sources
  • Government plans to focus on states like West Bengal, Jharkhand, Odisha and Chhattisgarh
IL&FS proposes to limit the leeway for lenders in resolution
  • The role of the Committee of Creditors (constituting of banks) will be limited to voting on the highest bidder only
  • Specifics of the distribution of the proceeds of the asset sales shall be decided independent of the COC
Government promulgates ordinance to ease coal mine auctions
  • Currently, coal output is short of demand due to a very rigid coal mining auction policy being followed
  • The ordinance seeks to open up new areas of growth in the coal and the mining sector to make it more attractive
RBI allows SIP payments through Unified Payment Interface (UPI)
  • This will put the UPI platform at par with other payment platforms like NEFT and electronic wallets
  • Now it will be possible to give mandates like SIP and regular debit mandates based on UPI interface itself
HSBC raises its gold price forecast $1613/oz for the year
  • This is a smart upgrade from their old gold target of $1560/oz and is driven by rising geopolitical uncertainty
  • Gold has seen a smart rally in the last one year with domestic gold prices touching a record high of Rs.41,000/10 grams
Lupin gets two observations from the US FDA on its Nagpur facility
  • These Form 483 observations pertain to violations on production and sanitation standards prescribed
  • Over the last 4 years, most of the large Indian pharma companies have had serious problems with the US FDA
ED attaches Rs.78 crore worth of personal assets of Kochhar family
  • This pertains to the conflict of interest in Chanda Kochhar giving loans to the Videocon group
  • The attached assets have a market value of Rs.400 crore and includes the apartment owned in CCI, Mumbai
India’s forex reserves touch a record level of $461 billion
  • The record forex levels were driven by strong forex flows and limited need for RBI intervention
  • With imports falling sharply, the forex import coverage has crossed 12 months and is at a globally competitive level
Yes Bank audit committee chief, Uttam Agarwal, quits his post
  • Uttam Agarwal has pointed to serious lapses to governance at Yes Bank and has specifically named Ravneet Gill
  • Agarwal’s contention is that the CEO had been promising capital raising without any concrete plans in place
FPIs have pulled out Rs.2415 crore from Indian equities in January
  • While the selling has not been too aggressive, FPIs have turned cautious due to the weakening rupee
  • The global geopolitical risk is also forcing many global investors to become increasingly risk-off
Donald Trump has warned Iran not to escalate the geopolitical situation
  • The problems started after the US killed an Iranian general and Iran retaliated by bombing US facilities in Iraq
  • In the latest development, Iran has arrested the British ambassador to Iran and that could lead to more UN sanctions
Jeff Bezos likely to face trader protests during his India visit
  • Many traders have lost their livelihoods due to the deep pocket expansion of Amazon in online retail
  • The trader community has also been lobbying with the Indian government for a level playing field for local traders
IIP turned into positive territory after a gap of almost 3 months
  • A total of 13 out of the 23 industry groups in the IIP showed positive growth for the month of November
  • However, economists caution that this could be more due to the base effect and have less to do with green shoots
UBS bets on re-rating of OMCs in the year 2020
  • According to UBS, the re-rating could be due to better refining margins under the new maritime rules
  • However, if crude oil was to spike then the OMCs run a major subsidy risk in the Indian context
Supreme Court rules in favour of Tata Sons in the NCLAT order
  • As per the Supreme Court order striking down NCLAT order, there was no need to reinstate Mistry as chairman
  • However, the issue is less about the chairmanship of Tata Sons and more about a seat on the board of the holding company
India has restricted the import of refined palm oil from Malaysia
  • Malaysia and Turkey have sided with Pakistan on the subject of CAA and also on the topic of Kashmir
  • The restriction is more in the nature of calls to traders to reduce their dependence on Malaysian palm oil
Seven out of top 10 companies add Rs.32,000 crore to market cap
  • Despite the geopolitical risk, the Nifty and Sensex managed to stay close to their all time high levels
  • Among the heavyweights, it was Reliance Industries and HDFC Bank that contributed most to the rally
Over 85% of mutual fund investors come from top 30 cities
  • This goes to underscore that the spread of mutual funds still remains an urban phenomenon
  • The non-urban segment has largely picked up due to incentives of higher commission on non-urban sales
Budget expectations to drive the market direction in Jan 2020
  • The markets are expecting big shifts on the LTCG tax and the STT front to encourage equities
  • The small investors are also expecting major tax cuts in line with relief given to corporates in September last year