Weekly Capsule (Jan 08 – Jan 12) and Impact Analysis

FPI flows into debt in 2017 was to the tune of Rs.150,000 crore
  • The inflows into debt more than compensated for the tepid flows into equities on the back of valuation concerns
  • Debt flows continued to be elevated on the back of positive rate differential in India with strong rupee
TCS announced good growth in digital but tepid growth in BFSI
  • The net profits actually saw a 3% fall during the quarter as revenues for the quarter were up by 3.9%
  • Despite operating margins at 25.2%, cost pressures and tepid growth in BFSI took its toll on quarterly numbers
IndusInd Bank continued its healthy 25% profit growth in the quarter
  • The company grew profits on the back of healthy growth in loan book, especially auto loans, and the NII
  • Gross NPAs were marginally up by 8 basis points at 1.16% but that is the spillage expected across most private banks
Government to ease MAT requirements for companies under insolvency
  • The IT department will allow brought forward losses and accumulated depreciation to be set off
  • This will be a boost for buyers of assets as earlier the depreciation benefits were excluded
Patanjali to make a massive online foray to push its FMCG products
  • The company has already touched Rs.10,500 crore annual sales and likely to again double sales from here
  • Patanjali has already tied up with marquee online names like Flipkart, Paytm, Big Basket, Grofers and Amazon India
FPIs infused nearly $217 billion into emerging markets in 2017
  • This EM trade was largely a return to growth in most emerging markets supported by higher commodity prices
  • Nearly 75% of these flows came into debt which was supported by higher net interest rates and a weak dollar
PIMCO warns about the end of the 30-year bull market in bonds
  • Bonds could be negatively impacted by rising yields as central banks adopt a more hawkish approach to rates
  • The return to higher growth across the developed markets is likely to create a fresh appetite for equities over bonds
GVK has signed a definitive agreement to develop the Navi Mumbai airport
  • The news came as a big sentimental boost for GVK which is already mired under a huge mountain of debt
  • The stake will be managed by MIAL; the GVK subsidiary that currently manages the Mumbai airport.
The government took some huge steps on the FDI relaxation front
  • The government officially permitted 100% FDI through the automatic route in case of single-brand retail
  • Airlines and construction will also be allowed 49% FDI under automatic route, in a big boost to Air India divestment
  The government betters last year’s direct tax collections by 18.2%
  • This could be largely attributed to the low base effect as 2016 3rd quarter was a demonetization quarter
  • However, the government appears to have made progress in broadening the tax base and using digital to plug loopholes
Gold gains over $100/oz in the aftermath of the Fed rate hike
  • There appears to be a lot of safe haven money that is flowing into gold as market uncertainty looks imminent
  • Gold has also benefited from the sharp volatility in Bitcoins, which was seen as a non-fiat alternative to gold
Prime Minister meets up with over 40 leading Indian economists
  • The focus was more on reviving growth and addressing the problem of weak agricultural growth in GDP
  • It also indicates that the budget 2018 may focus largely on enhancing rural purchasing power
Brent Crude finally crossed a 3-year high of $70/bbl this week   

  • The rise in Brent crude has been supported by OPEC supply cuts and rising oil demand across the world
  • US shale oil inventories, which had put a cap on oil prices, have also been consistently dwindling in the last few weeks
Knight Frank has reported a 5-10% fall in Mumbai residential prices
  • This sharp fall has been led by builders dropping prices to clear their inventories post RERA implementation
  • This has forced most of the existing developers to focus on completing ongoing projects rather than focus on new ones
Potential bidders emerge for Bhushan Steel and Electrosteel
  • Both these companies, currently referred to NCLT, have seen interest from other steel producers
  • Steel demand is likely to expand 3-fold in India by 2030 and this offers a good inorganic way to expand capacity
SBI plans to raise Rs.20,000 crore by way of bonds for low cost housing
  • SBI has identified low cost housing as a big opportunity after the government accorded it infrastructure status
  • This fund raising also helps SBI to meet its capital needs ahead of the Basel requirements by March 2019
Reliance Jio could turn into profits in the December quarter
  • If it happens then it could be a big boost for the RIL group within just 18 months of the launch
  • Jio had reported operating profits last quarter and has already triggered a major consolidation in the industry
SEBI has imposed a ban on Price Waterhouse from audit for 2 years
  • This is the first time that SEBI has come down heavily on an auditor for obvious lapses in the Satyam case
  • SEBI has also passed a disgorgement order of Rs.13 crore against PW for losses caused by its actions
Aadhar likely to offer 16-digit virtual id to overcome privacy concerns
  • This 16 digit virtual id will be issued effective from March 2018 and will be one more layer of security in Aadhar
  • The 16-digit Aadhar id will be mapped to the Aadhar number and it can be changed by the holder of the Aadhar card
SAT strikes down IRDAI order to force Sahara Life merger with ICICI Pru
  • SAT has observed that this decision issued ex-parte violated the principle of natural justice
  • Now IRDA has been asked to give Sahara an opportunity to be heard and also respond to the order
Fed’s Dudley fears that US tax cuts could heat the US economy
  • This appears to be a clear indication that the Fed could be aggressive in favour of 4 rate hikes instead of 3 this year
  • Tax cuts by the Trump government are expected to spur a spending boom across the US and push growth