Weekly Capsule of 04th Aug 2017

Weekly Capsule (Jul 31 – Aug 04) and Impact Analysis

Major News Item Impact Analysis
   
Ø  RBI in its monetary policy cut repo rates by 25 basis points Ø  The 25 bps rate cut was already priced in and hence did not have any positive incremental impact on markets

Ø  The RBI has retained its monetary stance as neutral and that means the RBI is keeping its options open if rates rise globally

 

Ø  Infosys to invest heavily in manpower in the European region Ø  Europe currently accounts for 22% of the total revenues of Infosys and is the second largest market after the US

Ø  As US GDP lags and EU GDP picks up steam, Infosys is looking to capitalize on the growth in the region

 

Ø  Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) pump in nearly $4 billion in July 2017 Ø  Nearly 70% came in the form of debt investments and the balance 30% in the form of equity

Ø  Due to a strong rupee, most FPIs have earned higher returns in July due to rupee dividends

 

Ø  Tata Sons to focus more on the domestic business of Tata Motors Ø  Domestically, Tata Motors’ CV market share has fallen by 15% and passenger car market share has fallen by 8%

Ø  One of the mandates for new Tata Sons boss Chandra is to reduce the dependence on JLR

 

Ø  Auto and FMCG companies saw a pick-up in demand in July Ø  This growth was the lag effect of consumer companies coming out of the GST blues in June

Ø  Consumer sales saw a spurt as companies in both the sectors passed on most of their GST benefits to the end customer

 

Ø  SBI, in a surprise move, cut rates on savings deposits by 50 basis points Ø  While deposits under Rs.1 crore will earn only 3.5%, balances above Rs.1 crore will continue to earn 4% as before

Ø  This will impact nearly 90% of the savings customers of SBI and will help improve its net profits by nearly 20%

 

Ø  Indigo reported 25% growth in revenues and profits Ø  The profit growth was largely driven by improved spread between the RASK and the CASK for Indigo

Ø  Apart from lower fuel prices, Indigo also benefited largely from the sharp reduction in interest by cutting debt

 

Ø  HDFC Life has formally called off its proposed merger with Max Life Ø  The merger had run into problems after IRDA had objected to the merger of an insurance company with an NBFC

Ø  HDFC Life now proposes to go ahead with its IPO in this fiscal and will revisit the merger proposal at a later date

 

Ø  Snapdeal called off the proposed merger with Flipkart Ø  The dispute over valuations was too wide with Snapdeal expecting an enterprise valuation of $1 billion

Ø  While Softbank and Tiger Global had pushed for the merger, key investors like Azim Premji had opposed the deal

 

Ø  July witnessed a sharp fall in the PMI for manufacturing and Services Ø  Both manufacturing and Services PMI fell way below the 50 mark indicating a clear sign of contraction

Ø  The sudden fall in PMI is largely attributed to the GST, which had focused companies on inventory rather than production

   
Ø  Government relaxes rules for holdings in Sovereign Gold Bonds Ø  The SGB holding purchase limit per year has been increased from 500 grams to 4 KG per year; an 8-fold jump

Ø  This is expected to rekindle interest in gold bonds, which is key to reducing dependence on gold imports

 

Ø  UDAY bonds may have saved Rs.14,000 crore power Discoms Ø  UDAY entailed states taking over 75% of the debt of state Discoms and issuing bonds against the same

Ø  This move has managed to free up nearly Rs.22,000 crore worth of bank funds for further lending

 

Ø  Donald Trump unveils aggressive plan to cut down on legal immigration Ø  This is in line with Trump’s election promise to save more American jobs for local Americans

Ø  Like Australia and Canada, the US will also focus more on encouraging immigrants in high-skilled roles

 

Ø  SEBI issues order against key members of FT group management Ø  This order pertains to the Rs.5600 crore default of obligation of the NSEL back in July 2013

Ø  Apart from the promoters, key senior managers like Massey and Javalgekar have been found guilty of insider trading

 

Ø  Lupin disappoints the street with a 60% fall in net profits for Q1 Ø  The drop in profits was largely driven by weakness in US sales, which accounts for nearly 40% of the revenues of Lupin

Ø  Lupin was also hit by the rupee strength even as the stock has dipped below the psychological 1000 mark

 

Ø  Murthy / Sikka stand-off comes back to haunt the Infosys stock Ø  Murthy has now demanded that the Gibson report on the Panaya deal be made public

Ø  Apart from the Panaya deal, Murthy also has reservations to Sikka’s package and the severance package to Bansal

 

Ø  NSE indicates at a likely IPO and listing by the end of March 2018 Ø  Institutional investors continue to be worried over collocation revenues being directed towards an escrow account

Ø  Limaye has been pitching for the consent mechanism wherein NSE can continue without admitting or denying the guilt

 

Ø  Titan flattered the street with a 97% growth in its net profits Ø  The profit growth was driven by the jewellery business that accounts for over 80% of the revenues of Titan

Ø  Rising gold imports and pent-up festival demand have been driving demand at Titan’s jewellery division

 

Ø  BJP overtakes Congress as the largest party in the Rajya Sabha Ø  BJP now has 58 members in the Rajya Sabha compared to 57 for the Congress party

Ø  A majority for BJP in the Upper House gives it a distinct edge in pushing through crucial bills in future

 

Ø  Baba Kalyani group ready to roll out missiles in this fiscal year Ø  The group is into missile manufacturing in JV with Rafael Advanced Defence Systems of Israel

Ø  It has affirmed that they are in a position of readiness to supply missiles to the armed forces within weeks of the order

 

Ø  Cognizant reported a 86% growth in profits for June quarter Ø  The spurt in profits for Cognizant was largely driven by a sharp growth in key verticals like healthcare

Ø  Cognizant also saw a 9% growth in revenues, which is very commendable in the tight market conditions