Major News Item |
Impact Analysis |
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Ø Indian Realty sector worst hit by the demonetization drive |
Ø Most developers and key geographies have seen demand and off-take dip by nearly 50% in the last 3 months
Ø Most retail investors in realty are holding back their purchases on expectations of lower interest rates and lower prices
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Ø SEBI has permitted celebrities to endorse mutual funds |
Ø This endorsement will have to be for mutual funds as an industry or as an investment vehicle
Ø Celebrities still cannot endorse specific AMCs or specific features or attributes of a particular product
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Ø GST to go live on July 01st with most contentious issues sorted out |
Ø The major bone of contention of sharing of powers between centres and states has been sorted out
Ø States will get full control over 95% of businesses with annual turnover less than Rs.1.50 crore
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Ø Reliance Industries reported an expansion in GRMs in 3rd quarter |
Ø Gross refining margins (GRM) went up from $10.1/bbl to $10.8/bbl for the third quarter of the current fiscal
Ø While petchem margins were actually robust, the real worry was over the massive telecom investment of Jio
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Ø SEBI to put restrictions on listing of shares through reverse merger |
Ø SEBI has made an attempt to prevent the back-door listing of larger companies through the reverse merger route
Ø SEBI has notified conditions under which the larger company will have to obtain specific permission from shareholders
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Ø Government to go ahead with GAAR implementation on April 01st |
Ø General Anti-Avoidance Rules (GAAR) allows the IT Dept to come down heavily on transactions structured to save tax
Ø The focus of the GAAR will be on substance rather than form, although, GAAR will not be with retrospective effect
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Ø SFIO seeks details of the 15% stake purchase in MCX by Kotak group |
Ø This is part of the overall investigation that the Serious Frauds Investigation Office (SFIO) is carrying on into the NSEL scam
Ø SFIO wants to find out if the stake purchased in 2014 at Rs.469 crore was deliberately underpriced as it was at 15% discount
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Ø UK£ came under pressure during the week on BREXIT woes |
Ø Theresa May has emphasised that Britain will make an attempt to exit the EU at the earliest
Ø The UK£ has been under tremendous pressure on worries that BREXIT may cause damage to UK and EU trade
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Ø WPI inflation for December comes in at 3.39% |
Ø This is slightly higher than the WPI level of 3.15% in November and almost entirely bridges the gap between CPI and WPI
Ø While food has applied downward pressure on WPI inflation, oil has been the key reason for the higher WPI inflation
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Ø Government to seek $2.2 billion dividend from Hindustan Zinc |
Ø Government is currently holding 29.5% stake in HZL with the Vedanta group being the majority shareholder
Ø Government is likely to coax most profitable PSU to pay higher dividends this year to make up for disinvestment shortfall
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Ø Raghuram Rajan warns of serious trade war between the US and China |
Ø According to Rajan, the highly protectionist and isolationist policies of Trump can snowball into a trade war
Ø Trump has been talking about a border tax on outsourcing plus a duty of 45% on all Chinese imports
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Ø Arun Jaitley confirms that they plan to sell 25% stake in general insurers |
Ø Government may look to sell 25% in five general insurers in the current fiscal but leave LIC out of the process
Ø It is likely to give an important benchmark to private insurers for valuing their general insurance business
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Ø NCLT dismisses contempt petition against Tata Sons by Cyrus Mistry |
Ø Mistry had sought intervention of the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) over breakdown of governance in Tata Sons
Ø The trigger was the ouster of Mistry from the chairmanship of Tata Sons on October 24th 2016
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Ø Warburg Pincus acquires a 14% stake in PVR Cinemas from the promoters |
Ø Promoters, Bijli Group, have sold the stake for Rs.820 crore to raise funds for their other ventures
Ø Bijli group continues to be the largest shareholder of PVR, although Multiples and Warburg are key shareholders now
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Ø Ecommerce websites continue to bleed in a big way in 2016 |
Ø Flipkart announced a loss of Rs.5223 crore for 2016 while Amazon followed with a loss of Rs.3571 crore
Ø Large ecommerce sites have been spending heavily in promotion, advertising and offering festival discounts
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Ø Most economists at DAVOS highlight Trump as biggest risk for markets |
Ø Economists are apprehensive that the protectionism and isolationism may trigger off a trade war with China
Ø A trade war may force China to drop its currency and that could also trigger off a currency war among EMs
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Ø China exerts pressure on India through the visa route |
Ø After offering visa-free access to Indians for many years, Hong Kong has decided to top Visa-on-Arrival for Indians
Ø Over 5 lakh Indians visit Hong Kong frequently and this has obviously happened under pressure from China
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Ø M&M marks foray into Europe with Turkish tractor firm buy |
Ø M&M bought a controlling 75% stake in Turkish tractor maker, Hisarlar, for $19 million
Ø This gives M&M free and unfettered access to the vast European market which is lucrative and also growing rapidly
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Ø George Soros predicts a market slump with the ascent of Trump |
Ø Soros fears that the protectionist and narrow policies of Trump could lead to a global asset sell-off
Ø Trump also expects Theresa May to resign as well as the EU to gradually integrate post Britain’s exit
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Ø GST, Demonetization to hurt earnings for 2-3 quarters says, BOFA |
Ø According to BOFA, the disruption will depend on the final GST rate and the sustained impact of demonetization on liquidity
Ø While the liquidity impact has been severe on sectors like auto and realty, other sectors have actually managed quite well
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Ø Donald Trump took charge as the 45th US president on 20th January |
Ø His ascent to the top job was marked by a vow to make America great again amidst protectionist noises
Ø Not surprisingly, safe haven assets like gold have been attracting demand and moving higher
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