TRIGGERS WEEKLY (MAR 23 – MAR 27) – PREPARING FOR NEXT WEEK

Trigger for the Week How will it impact?
Virus spread in India will hold the key as impact crosses 300
  • The markets will be keen to see the impact of the Coronavirus stemming and stabilizing this week
Dow lost 900 points on Friday and that will be an overhang
  • The SGX Nifty has already indicated weakness and the global spread will hold the key to the Nifty
Markets will be watching Yes Bank stock price and deposits
  • Yes Bank has escaped a run on deposits but that is still a risk. Equity investors will look for price support
RBI intervention holds the key to the rupee value during the week
  • RBI intervened last week at 75/$ by selling dollars to the tune of $5 billion to support the Indian rupee
RBI rate cut continues to be elusive but the hope stays
  • RBI has take rapid steps on liquidity to the tune of Rs.40,000 crore but rate cuts will be a boost
Electronics package of Rs.49,000 cr may throw up interesting options
  • The package, if announced this week, could hold a big hope for the beleaguered hardware space
FIIs have sold more than Rs.60,000 crore in India in last one month
  • Markets will be keenly looking for a bottoming out of FII selling for the markets to show signs of support
Oil prices could see a bounce after the sharp fall to $25/bbl
  • With storage demand for oil rising, crude could get some support which will be positive for the global economy
Markets will look for cues on global and local economic slowdown cues
  • That will be a key data input for sectors like metals, capital goods and banks to hold value
Private banks likely to be weak after Bernstein view on HDFC Bank
  • The downgrade of HDFC Bank target raises questions on NPAs in the massive retail portfolios of private banks
Keep a watch on interim dividend declarations as a price booster
  • Stocks like ONGC, ITC and GAIL got a dividend boost. This week could see more interim dividends announced
Keep a watch on buybacks being announced for the week
  • Lower prices could get support from buybacks which have been seen in MOFSL, Emami, Sun and Dalmia
SEBI rules on short selling will kick in on Monday
  • This could work both ways. Short covering could trigger an up move. However, delivery selling is a possibility
Consumption plays could take a hit this week on shutdown
  • Demand for a host of goods and services are likely to come down and that could impact consumption stocks