Weekly Capsule (Aug 19 – Aug 23) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
Nirmala Sitharaman announces relief for FPIs and NBFCs
  • The government has officially announced that the capital gains will be exempt from the tax surcharge
  • In a push to NBFCs, the government gave another Rs.30,000 crore to HFCs and agreed to lenient lines of credit
Finance Minister also provides a boost to the automobile sector
  • Automobiles get higher depreciation of 30% as against current 15% plus assurance of easy funding from NBFCs
  • Government also considering a scrappage policy as well as commencing purchase of cars by government departments
Trade war rhetoric sharpens between China and the United States
  • China triggered the war this time around by announcing higher import tariffs on US imports worth $75 billion
  • In response, Trump has asked US companies manufacturing in China to look out for alternative options
Wall Street drops by 2% as the trade war intensified on Friday
  • Ahead of a tentative weekend, Wall Street indices cracked sharply after Trump promised to retaliate
  • The US and China have a combined GDP of $36 trillion and the world cannot really afford these countries sparring
Oil prices in the Brent Market slide sharply on worsening trade war
  • With the trade war looking to worsen, the Brent Crude prices fell decisively below the $60/bbl mark on Friday
  • The renewed trade war has again raised concerns of a real slowdown in the world GDP and that is negative for oil
Rupee touches a low of Rs.72/$ during the week but bounces back
  • The rupee corrected sharply during the week after China dropped the Yuan mid-point for the second time
  • With Chinese Yuan falling to nearly CNY7.10/$, the Indian rupee came under pressure, losing 6% in August
In a boost to start-ups, the government announced a slew of measures
  • The government has now confirmed that Section 56 (2)B pertaining to angel tax has been scrapped
  • Government has also instructed CBDT to set up a separate start-up cell to handle tax related issues quickly
Jerome Powell maintains cautious stance at Jackson Hole
  • The Fed Chairman, in his address to the Jackson Hole Symposium stopped short of committing to rate cuts
  • Obviously, Trump has not been too happy with the cautious attitude of the Fed and is looking at more aggressive cuts
Chris Wood of CLSA cuts India overweight by 100 bps due to Kashmir
  • Wood pointed out that the ongoing situation in Kashmir was creating geopolitical risk in the South Asian region
  • However, CLSA continues to be overweight on India vis-à-vis the model portfolio created by the MSCI EM index
Indian rupee emerges the worst performing EM currency in Asia
  • Indian rupee corrected more than 6% versus the dollar since the beginning of August on FPI selling and dollar strength
  • The correction in the INR was the worst among EMs; sharper than the Philippine Peso and the Korean Won too
IndusInd Bank touches a 30-month low on asset quality concerns
  • Asset quality concerns have grown on worries that the worst of bad assets in the books may have not emerged yet
  • Analysts have cautioned that the Bharat Fin acquisition may not pay dividends till this asset quality issue is sorted out
Shapoorji Pallonji group looks at assets sales to cut down on its debt
  • With weakness in the construction business, Pallonji Group is looking to cut its total debt by Rs.4000 crore
  • The corporate construction business of the group took a hit after Tata Group orders started reducing after the fiasco
OPEC market share in crude market touches a multi-decade low of 30%
  • This is one of the lowest market share that the OPEC had in all its years; although market share has been falling
  • The status of swing producer has shifted from Saudi Arabia to the US and Russia virtually dictates terms to the OPEC
63 Moons (formerly FT) gets relief from the Mumbai High Court
  • Mumbai High Court rejected the plea by Mumbai Police to attach the assets of 63 moons against NSEL liabilities
  • HC pointed out that under the arms-length rule, they were separate entities and it could set a wrong precedent
Macron rules out a new BREXIT deal for Britain for its October exit
  • Macron of France has refused to give any fresh deal to UK on BREXIT considering the limited time available
  • However, Merkel has prevailed upon the EU to grant Britain another 30 days time to come up with a viable deal
New STT model on options will kick in from the first of September
  • Under the new STT model for options, ITM options will only be charged STT on moneyness and not on notional value
  • This moves is likely to reduce the costs and also reduce the discount that options currently trade to the intrinsic value
Minutes of the MPC reveal that the RBI Governor strongly favoured 35 bps cut
  • Clearly, the higher than expected rate cut in the August policy was with the growth impulses in view
  • The MPC did express some concern over inflation with two members voting for just a 25 bps rate cut
SEBI board meeting announces slew of benefits for FPIs
  • The regulator has simplified the KYC norms for FPIs and also reduced the number of FPI categories to two
  • In addition, the FPIs will also be allowed to do off market transfer of shares; something hitherto barred for FPIs
Government panel in favour of cut in corporate taxes to 25%
  • The panel is also in favour of an across the board cut in corporate taxes to 25% from the current 30%
  • This rate cuts were originally promised by Arun Jaitley but was implemented only up to a threshold of profits
Gold prices internationally crosses the $1500/oz mark during the week
  • Rising global uncertainty is leading to a major increase in demand for gold as a risk-off asset class
  • In the last five years, gold holdings with ETFs has gone up by nearly 1000 tonnes to a level of 2425 tonnes
Dewan Housing defaults on commercial paper worth Rs.1571 crore
  • This default includes a 70% share of principal and a 30% share of interest payouts by Dewan Housing Finance
  • With total debt of Rs.92,000 crore, Dewan Housing presents a major systemic risk for the economy as a whole.