Weekly Capsule (Dec 23 – Dec 27) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
Nearly 75% of BSE brokers have shut shop in India since 2014
  • Traditional brokers have found it tough to survive against the onslaught of low cost broking and the use of technology
  • The number of active brokers on the BSE has fallen from 9600 to a little under 2400, showing the churn in the business
Government and SEBI unable to agree upon sharing of surplus funds
  • After RBI, the government has asked SEBI and IRDA to hand over their surplus funds of Rs.3500 crore to the government
  • However, the regulators feel that these reserves would be key to more effective regulation and regulator independence
Market indices gain sharply on Friday helped by positive news flows
  • On the global front, hopes of an imminent Phase 1 of the trade deal between China and the US, kept indices buoyant
  • The bond twisting by the RBI also led to lower yields on the 10-year bonds giving a positive signal for the equity markets
DICGC may take a hit of Rs.14,000 crore in the PMC Bank case
  • This is in the recent aftermath of the PMC Bank dissolution for which DICGC had to pay the insured amount per account
  • DICGC came back into the limelight only after RBI placed restrictions on withdrawals by PMC Bank depositors
HFCs double their share of builder loans in the last 4 years
  • This has come at a time when the PSU banks have reduced their exposures to builders by nearly 50%
  • NBFCs have also seen their exposure to builders going up sharply and builder stress could be a concern for HFCs
Oil  prices scale a 3-monthy high on trade deal hopes
  • Brent Crude prices scaled the $68/bbl mark after the US and China gave renewed hopes of an early Phase 1 trade deal
  • The prices are also up due to enhanced supply cuts but this does pose a CAD problem for the Indian economy
SEBI insists on registered investment advisors to advise based on risk profile
  • Now RIAs can neither offer free look-in period nor give any advice without the risk profile being completed
  • The idea is to ensure that investment recommendations are only based on risk appetite and risk capacity of the client
Indian start-ups raise $14.5 billion in 2019, a YOY growth of 30%
  • This spurt in start up funding was driven by some big names like OYO Rooms and Paytm raising big money from VCs.
  • However, the chunk of the money raised is in businesses like room syndication, cab pooling, food delivery service etc
Annual FPI flows into India cross $20 billion in calendar year 2019
  • One major driver for the flows came from the central elections, which perpetuated the stable government
  • Meanwhile, the MSCI EM index has raised India’s weight from 8.9% to 9.6% assuring flows of nearly $2.5 billion
RBI proposes major changes to the NEFT / RTGS fund transfer system
  • The first change will be that RBI will make all NEFT and RTGS transactions free of any charges from Jan-2020
  • In addition, RBI also plans to allow Fintech companies also to participate in NEFT / RTGS money transfer services
RBI expects gross NPAs of banks to rise to 9.9% by end of 2020
  • In the RBI annual report, the concern is that rising cases of delinquency could lead to a 60 bps rise in gross NPAs
  • According to Das, the slowdown in the twin engines of investment and consumption is likely to be the reason
Adani group enters cold chain business with stake in Snowman Logistics
  • Adani has acquired a 40% stake in Snowman at a price of Rs.296 crore for its cold storage chain
  • This deal gives a logical extension to the ambitious plans that Adani has in the wholesale foods business
IOB, Allahabad Bank and UCO Bank get capital infusion from the government
  • All the three banks are under the PCA and this will help them emerge out of PCA at an earlier date
  • However, NPAs for these 3 banks are in excess of 15% at a gross levels and that could be the big challenge to growth
SBI launches OTP based cash withdrawals from ATMs
  • This facility will be available to all withdrawals above Rs.10,000 as an additional level of security
  • This will protect the depositors from unauthorized usage of the card as OTP will be sent on the registered mobile number
Sugar stocks advance during the week on major supply shortfall
  • The shortfall in sugar supply was an outcome of excessive unseasonal rains in Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh
  • In addition, the incentives given by the government for sugar exports has also kept the prices of sugar buoyant
SEBI imposes Rs.25 lakhs penalty on ICRA and CARE on IL&FS case
  • The penalty was towards lapses in assessing the credit risk of IL&FS leading to huge bond losses
  • Subsequently, the rating agencies had sharply downgraded the bonds of IL&FS leading to further losses for investors
RBI asks for small savings rate to be aligned to market rates
  • The small savings rates on PPF and post office deposits are nearly 100-150 bps higher than what banks pay
  • This has prevented banks from passing on RBI rate cuts as lower cost of deposits are not feasible in such conditions
Dilip Sanghvi of Sun Pharma to take a huge hit as Suzlon moves to bankruptcy
  • Sanghvi had invested Rs.1400 crore in Suzlon back in 2014 to take a stake, which may have to be written off
  • Suzlon had made heavy investments in alternate energy which eventually turned out to be unviable with its high debt
Mistry unlikely to take position in the Tata Sons board
  • After the unseemly controversy of 2016, Mistry is unlikely to return to the Tata Sons board in his personal capacity
  • He may either appoint a nominee for the job or may choose to officially resign from his position
Experts feel that divestment targets could fall short by Rs.50,000 crore
  • Against the full year target of Rs.105,000 crore, it has only achieved Rs.17,000 crore of divestments as of date
  • The big names like BPCL, Air India and Container Corporation may see a delay in their IPOs to the next fiscal year
Government considering serious penalties for GST non-compliance
  • These penalties could include attachment of properties and also attachment of bank accounts
  • Government plans to make failure to pay GST as well as failure to file returns on time punishable under the GST Act