Weekly Capsule (Jun 17 – Jun 21) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
The US Federal Reserve maintains status quo on rates
  • Despite pressure from Trump, the Fed chose to maintain status quo on rates but hinted at cuts in the future
  • This dovish outlook had a positive impact on the US markets as well as other EMs across the world
Iran shoots down an American drone in the midst of a simmering Middle East
  • While the US claimed the drone was in international airspace, Iran has affirmed that it was above Southern Iran
  • Trump had ordered retaliatory attacks on Iran but withdrew in the last minute considering the volatile situation
Monetary Policy Committee minutes hint at inflation risk
  • The members of the MPC, despite voting unanimously, underlined that rate cut was only to push growth
  • The MPC minutes specifically highlighted the inflation risk arising from higher food and oil prices
GST Council Meet decides to extend anti-profiteering by another 2 years
  • The first GST meet chaired by Sitharaman focused more on the penalties under the anti profiteering clause
  • The Council extended the last date for filing full year returns by 2 months to August 31st
Brent Crude soars above $65/bbl in the midst of rising Middle East tensions
  • The spurt in oil prices was visible after Iran shot down the US drone and US threatened to retaliate
  • Oil traders panicked that a war in the Middle East could seriously impact oil movement in the area
Government may not to budge on its Electrical Vehicles deadline
  • The deadline for EV shift is 2023 for 3 wheelers and 2025 for two wheelers up to 150 CC
  • While the Niti Aayog has spoken about 2030 deadline for cars, the government has been silent on the issue
Jet Airways gets referred to NCLT with the plea by SBI being admitted
  • With no buyers forthcoming in the Jet Airways issue, there was little choice for SBI but refer to NCLT
  • With its aircraft being repossessed and employees having left, it is unclear how much creditors can really recover
Reliance Capital reduces its outstanding CPs by over 90%
  • The proceeds from sale of stake were used by Reliance Capital to reduce outstanding CPs from Rs.950 crore to Rs.75 crore
  • The ADAG group has been on a spree monetizing its key assets and using the proceeds to repay group debt
CCI approves merger of Indiabulls Housing Finance and LVB
  • This will be the first instance of a larger NBFC merging with a smaller bank
  • While Indiabulls Housing Finance gets a banking license, LVB gets a strong franchise in the West and the North
Deloitte and KPMG question the jurisdiction of NCLT in audit ban
  • NCLT had proposed a ban of 5 years on Deloitte on taking up fresh audit works for alleged collusion in IFIN
  • Currently, audit activities in India are fully regulated by the ICAI, which is a statutory body by itself
India Ratings downgrades Reliance Infra to Default Status
  • The downgrade was necessitated after the company got into severe cash flow problems in the recent past
  • However, the company has not participated in the rating exercise despite repeated requests from the rating agency
Facebook launches proprietary payment gateway
  • The payment gateway will start by facilitating payments via Facebook and WhatsApp
  • Over time, this will also be integrated with Facebook’s proposed crypto currency, Libra