Weekly Capsule (Nov 18 – Nov 22) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
Devendra Fadnavis sworn in as CM of Maharashtra for the second term
  • The decision to revoke the president’s rule was taken early in the morning and Fadnavis had the support of Ajit Pawar
  • The NCP, Congress and the Shiv Sena have approached the Supreme Court against the decision
Odisha tops Maharashtra in fresh investments in H2 fiscal 2020
  • Odisha cornered 18% of the fresh investments into India followed by Maharashtra at 16%
  • Naveen Patnaik of Odisha has been pushing to position Odisha as the biggest magnet for foreign investments in India
Karvy Stock Broking barred from fresh accounts and execution of trades
  • This ex-parte order from SEBI comes in the light of the suspected Rs.2000 crore default by Karvy Stock Broking
  • Karvy had been in the news for some time over client defaults and delay in payments to employees
Bharti and Vodafone Idea approach the Supreme Court on payment of dues
  • This is a review petition to take a second look at the 3 month time frame to pay all pending AGR charges
  • The telecom industry had been asking for waiver of interest and penalty and moratorium on AGR payment
Hong Kong ends up as the best performer in last 50 years
  • The Hang Seng index has given an overall return of 16,700% over the last 50 years since its inception
  • That makes the HKSE the biggest wealth creator over the last fifty years as the index rode on the big China story
Global investors evince interest in junk bonds at massive yields
  • Buying distressed debt is high risk but that is a strategy followed by many investors globally
  • Some global investors were lapping up bonds of Altico and Reliance Capital at yields of over 80% in the open market
Tata Motors,  Vedanta and Yes Bank to be dropped from the Sensex
  • The BSE Sensex is expected to add Nestle, Titan and Ultratech Cements in place of these three stocks removed
  • The index regularly keeps changing the stock composition to ensure that the index is a better reflection of the economy
BPCL and SCI among the major privatization candidates this year
  • In both the cases, the government will be completely exiting these businesses and look for a strategic investor
  • While, BPCL is attracting a lot of global interest, SCI may be a more complex affair due to its diversified fleet
RBI supersedes the board of directors of Dewan Housing Finance
  • RBI had to take the decision to protect the interests of the stakeholders in the light of repeated defaults
  • The supersession was based on the recent amendment on Nov-15 allowing RBI to directly refer NBFCs to NCLT
NSE to introduce interest rate options from December 09
  • Interest rate futures (IRF) have been in existence on the NSE for quite some time to manage interest rate risk
  • IRF has not really taken off in a big way but it is expected that interest rate options would give a lower cost hedging tool
Muthoot Finance to acquire control over IDBI Mutual Fund
  • This gives Muthoot Finance a strong presence in the highly lucrative AMC business
  • Muthoot would look to use the synergy to launch a series of gold funds as a logical extension to its gold funding business
Telecom operators get some relief on payment of Spectrum usage charges
  • The government decided to offer a 2 year moratorium to telcos like Bharti and Vodafone to pay SUC charges
  • However, analysts are sceptical that this would have limited impact if the full AGR was still payable
Subhash Chandra finally manages to find a buyer and pay off MFs
  • This stake sale will leave Chandra with just a 5% stake in the Zee Entertainment group of which 1.1% is pledged
  • The debt problems of the Essel group first came to light in March when it had sought a 6 month extension to pay
Oil ends a volatile week on contrary cues at the macro level
  • The rising political unrest in OPEC nations like Iran, Iraq, Venezuela and Algeria pushed oil prices higher
  • However, the delay in the trade deal and the comments from Trump managed to pull down oil prices on slowdown fears
The 12,000 level continued to elude the Nifty during the week
  • After touching the 12,000 mark for the fourth time during the year, Nifty again gave up gains through the week
  • However, the Sensex has managed to decisively hold above the 40,000 mark and appears to be moving to 41,000
SBI AMC likely to list itself in the next two years as per SBI MF CEO
  • SBI is in the top-3 in terms of AUM and has an equity AUM that is larger than HDFC and ICICI Pru
  • This should ensure premium valuations as it could be the third AMC to plan a listing after HDFC AMC and Nippon AMC
Banks give out loans worth Rs.250,000 crore in the month of October
  • This was largely an aggressive strategy by banks and the Finance Ministry to push credit in the festive season
  • However the overhang of NPAs remain and DHFL could now add a new Rs.35,000 crore problem for banks
Aramco IPO gets oversubscribed in its institutional portion
  • Aramco received bids worth $17.1 billion on the institutional portion although retail portion remained tepid
  • The IPO of Aramco is at a valuation of $1.71 trillion making it the most valuable company in the world.
SEBI gives 31 day deadline for reporting of defaults by listed companies
  • This comes as a big relief compared to the 24 hour deadline given earlier, which many had considered impractical
  • This would avoid the panic caused by last minute downgrades by rating agencies and a gradual downgrade will happen
Jio faces weaker subscription numbers in the month of October
  • For the first time in two years, the subscriber addition at Reliance Jio fell below the 7 million per month mark
  • Clearly, higher ARPUs are taking away the low cost sheen and that is slowing subscriber addition in telecom
PSU banks report Rs.95,700 crore of frauds in first half of fiscal 2020
  • This is a record for half year frauds with nearly 5500 cases of frauds reported by banks
  • SBI, PNB and BOB led the fraud ranking in PSU banks while ICICI Bank led the rankings in the private banks