Weekly Capsule (Nov20–Nov24) and Impact Analysis

Weekly Capsule (Nov20–Nov24)
  • The President signs ordinance to amend the Bankruptcy Bill
 

  • The primary focus of the amendment will be to legally prevent the defaulters from taking control of the company
  • The amendment also seeks to overcome constraints pertaining to CCI approvals and open offers
  • Promoters likely to approach the courts against the promoter ban in IBC
  • Many analysts are of the view that barring promoters may vastly reduce the chances of a stressed asset being sold
  • However, the argument of these promoter groups is unlikely to stand up to scrutiny in a court of law
  • Winter session of Parliament to commence on December 15th
  • The winter session was postponed considering the upcoming Gujarat elections in early December
  • The ordinance signed by the President on the IBC will be taken up for approval but that is likely to be a formality
  • The race for the elections in Gujaratis graduallyheating up 
 

  • The battle for Gujarat could be much tighter than originally envisaged due to Hardik Patel supporting the Congress
  • The BJP has been in power in the state of Gujarat for more than 20 years and it will be seen as a referendum on 2019
  • Gold prices inched up after Fed members gave dovish signals
 

  • The Fed minutes released hints at more members expressing serious concerns over inflation remaining at low levels
  • Inflation at around 2% is a key criterion for a rate hike and any delays in rate hikes will mean a weaker dollar
  • Infosys stock hits a 3-month highahead of the buyback date
 

  • The Infosys buyback at a price of Rs.1150 commences on November 30th and there is buying interest in the stock
  • The buyback is at a steep premium to the market price and that could be an incentive to try and cash out
  • Government puts strict curbs on the exports of onions
 

  • The government has imposed strict curbs on onion exports after the prices crossed Rs.70/kg
  • Onions have always been a politically sensitive commodity and the BJP will not want to take chances ahead of polls
  • Edelweiss plans to expand its retail credit book substantially
 

  • In fact, Edelweiss expects its retail credit book to constitute over 50% of its overall book by the year 2020
  • Leading brokers like Edelweiss are already deriving a chunk of their revenues from fund-based businsses
  • FMCG companies passing on most of the GST cuts to end consumers
 

  • In the last GST meet, the Council had aggressively cut rates on 75% of the products in the peak 28% bracket
  • This is likely to be positive for demand and is likely to benefit stocks like HUVR, ITC, Dabur and Marico
  • Government imposes price controls on Hepatitis and cancer drugs
 

  • A total of 51 drugs for treating diseases like Hepatitis, Cancer and Haemophilia have come under price control
  • That is not great news for the already beleaguered pharma sector which is facing pressure in the US markets too
  • Airtel has expressed interest in buying a stake in RCOM
  • This will be an extension to the telecom properties already acquired by telecom major Airtel in the last few months
  • For RCOM, it may come as a whiff of fresh air as banks are trying to encircle the company for initiation liquidation
  • Government to probe if promoters exaggerated power project costs
  • The government view has been that the problem was aggravated by promoters overstating project costs
  • This becomes all the more relevant in the light of the government tightening the IBC rules by an ordinance
  • Centre to sanction a total of Rs.100,000 crore for Tamil Nadu infrastructure
 

  • This money is largely likely to be used for highways and port related projects to give a big boost to the TN economy
  • This move assumes added importance in the light of the recent political developments in Tamil Nadu
  • Government has exempted oil & gas mergers from CCI approvals
 

  • The CCI normally has to approve any merger that is likely to create a near monopoly situation in the industry
  • However, in case of oil & gas this merger is not market driven but driven more by scale and oil security considerations
  • Government clarifies that there is no proposal to withdraw cheque books 
 

  • A few newspapers had carried this report as a measure to promote the concept of digital banking in a bigger way
  • However, with limited clearing facilities, inadequate manpower and time lags, it was always impractical
  • By FY20, NBFCs may hold 20% of the total loan book as per a report
  

  • NBFCs have moved in rapidly to bridge this large gap in funding due to PSU banks lagging in credit growth
  • NBFCs are less regulated and hence they have greater flexibility in structuring solutions
  • Havmor exits ice-cream business and sells out to Lotte of South Korea
 

  • The consideration of Rs.1020 crore will only include the ice creambusiness and the restaurants will continue
  • Havmor was already under pressure after the aggressive sales plans of AMUL and Vadilal in Gujarat
  • Indian refiners processed record crude in the month of October
 

  • Nearly 5.2 million barrels per day of crude were processed during the month of October by Indian refineries
  • India has already emerged as the third largest oil consumer and this has given substantial clout in negotiations
  • Government may accord to special infrastructure status to logistics
 

  • Logistics is likely to be the one key sector to benefit in the post-GST scenario due to revamped logistics networks
  • Infrastructure status will enable easier funding at lower cost of credit as well as interest from PE investors
  • India may cut back on its annual health budget by $5 billion
 

  • This is being seen as a huge cut for an economy that is already struggling to improve its social indicators
  • That is approximately 25% cut in the overall health budget and intended to contain the fiscal deficit
  • Trade deficit for first 7 months up by 60% on a YOY basis
  • The trade deficit for Apr-Oct period touched a level of $88 billion, sharply higher than last year
  • Strong rupee has helped rupee to strengthen leading to a surge in imports and weak export performance