Weekly Capsule (Sep 03 – Sep 07) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
The rupee tested the level of 72/$ for the first time during the week
  • The worries over the trade deficit and the CAD took the INR to beyond the 72/$ mark on importer buying of dollars
  • However, the dollar did see some selling support from the RBI around the 72/$ mark helping the INR to close stronger
Current Account Deficit at 2.4% was better than market expected
  • The street was expecting CAD at around 2.5% of GDP due to pressure from the trade deficit
  • However, some of the brokerage houses like Nomura have maintained their year-end target of 2.8% for CAD
Amitabh Chaudhry to take over as the CEO of Axis Bank
  • The name of Amitabh Chaudhry, former CEO of HDFC Life, has been approved by RBI as next CEO of Axis Bank
  • Interestingly, this is the second time that Axis Bank is getting an insurance head as CEO after Shikha Sharma
SEBI eases FPI norms after investors warn of $75 billion FPI outflow
  • This pertains to an April 10th circular which had put stringent restrictions on final beneficiary ownership of FPIs
  • With a view to avoid disruptive outflows, SEBI has now allowed NRIs to hold a 25% minority stake in such FPIs
RBI is now likely to conduct a special audit of the books of IL&FS
  • The matter was precipitated last week after IL&FS defaulted on inter corporate deposits worth Rs.1000 crore from SIDBI
  • RBI will now investigate why this matter was not reported in advance to the regulator much earlier
Government rules out any excise duty cuts on diesel and petrol
  • Petrol and diesel prices in India have already touched a life-time high and that is not great news for inflation
  • The bigger worry for markets is that with elections coming the government may now load subsidies on oil companies
IFCI reported a surprising Rs.340 crore loss in the June quarter
  • The net loss contrasts with a net profit of Rs.277 crore in the first quarter last year. Revenues were sharply lower
  • The company took a hit of nearly Rs.450 crore in its income statement on asset impairment charges
China’s record trade surplus with the US may be sign of miscued tariffs
  • If Trump wanted to win the trade war with China, the reverse is happening with a $31 billion trade surplus for China in Aug
  • US exports to China have been hit hard due to counter tariffs and another $200 billion of Chinese goods will be included
Mutual Fund assets under management touches all-time high of Rs.25.2 trillion
  • This comes on the back of a massive Rs.175,000 crore MF AUM collection in the month of August alone
  • Retail flows have been positive for 29 months in a row while number of folios have risen for 51 months in a row
Aurobindo buys Sandoz dermatology unit for a price of $1 billion
  • This deal will give Aurobindo a major foothold in the US skin care market. $900 million will be paid in cash
  • This is part of Aurobindo’s inorganic strategy to make the best of the gradual revival in the US business
Gadkari makes a fervent pitch for shifting to eco friendly cars
  • The first target will be to reach 15% Electrical Vehicles (EV) penetration by the year 2023 and 100% by 2033
  • Indian auto companies are already investing heavily in EVs with the next 15 years in perspective
Goldman Sachs scraps plans for a dedicated crypto trading desk
  • Goldman was the first large investment house to plan a dedicated Bitcoin clearing desk for large clients
  • However, considering the plethora of regulatory hassles involved, Goldman has shelved plans for now
Reliance Infra starts getting rating upgrades after Adani deal
  • CRISIL may be the next to upgrade Reliance Infra after Brickworks on the back of the Adani power sale
  • The ADAG group overall has been consistently monetizing assets to reduce its overall debt by 60%
Bond yields settled above the 8% mark during the week on rate hike worries
  • Bond markets are veering around to the view that RBI may be forced to hike rates to stem the fall in the rupee
  • Bond yields normally reflect the trajectory of rate movements and 8% has been the resistance for a long time
Falling forex reserves may be a major concern for the RBI
  • The RBI reserves have fallen below the $400 billion mark and hence sustained intervention may be unlikely
  • That may leave the RBI with the only option of hiking the interest rates to contain the rupee
Arvind goes in for a major restructuring of its product lines
  • Arvind may be shifting to a more asset light strategy over the next few years by outsourcing its manufacturing operations
  • The focus of Arvind will shift towards man-made fibres rather than towards traditional textiles
JSPL to go for a comprehensive restructuring of debt
  • JSPL may split the company into discrete businesses to reduce its Rs.42,000 crore of debt burden
  • Apart from hiving off non-core businesses, JSPL will separate its steel, power and international businesses
Lanco group of Hyderabad may go in for NCLT liquidation of power assets
  • The group has a total debt of over Rs.50,000 crore and is one of the distressed power assets plaguing banks
  • The group is owned by Lagadapati Rajgopal, son-in-law of former Congress MP, P Upendra
PMI for goods and services come in marginally lower for August
  • There was a minor slackening in manufacturing but a sharp slackening in the services PMI
  • While both the PMIs are still above the cut-off mark of 50, they do betray a slowdown in growth momentum
Maruti reports fall in sales in August by -3.4% on flood worries
  • The Kerala floods took its first toll in the form of negative monthly sales for Maruti for August
  • The company also suffered as most buyers decided to put off purchases to the festival season later this year
Jackie Ma steps down from the helm of Alibaba
  • Alibaba was one of the largest IPOs which put the company in the big ecommerce league with $500 bn market cap
  • While Jackie Ma will remain on the board of Alibaba, he proposes to devote more time to philanthropic activities