Weekly Capsule (Sep 24 – Sep 28) and Impact Analysis

News Announcement Impact Analysis
Fed hiked rates by 25 basis points in its 26th September meet
  • This was largely along expected lines as the CME Fed Tool was already indicating a 95% probability of a rate hike
  • This will impel the RBI to also hike rates by 25 bps when it meets in October and also encourage risk-off selling
Nifty failed to sustain above 11,000 and closed at 10,930 for the week
  • Apart from the rate hikes, the worry about the contagion effect of IL&FS is proving costly for the market.
  • SEBI asked mutual funds to be cautious on their exposure to financials and this spooked financial stocks across the board
Yes Bank stock price corrects 60% in a little over a month
  • The sharp fall in Yes Bank started after the RBI refused permission to extend the tenure of Rana Kapoor
  • The stock also came under attack after markets were rife with rumours that Yes Bank’s NPAs may have been understated
RBI withdraws Bandhan Bank’s general permission to open new branches
  • The ban was imposed in the light of the promoters not diluting the stake in line with RBI mandate
  • The pay and remuneration of the MD & CEO has also been frozen till further notice
Beleaguered IL&FS to implement a comprehensive restructuring plan
  • A series of defaults by IL&FS group companies have become a major issue considering its outstanding debt of $12 billion
  • This includes filing with NCLT for protection to prevent creditors from dragging them to court
FPIs pull out nearly Rs.21,000 crore from markets in September
  • FPIs pulled out nearly an equal amount of money from equity and debt on rate and rupee concerns
  • The hawkish stance of the Fed and the bond worries in India are also keeping many foreign investors on tenterhooks
Gujarat High Court dismisses Adani Gas plea on gas distribution
  • The case had been filed against the contract to supply gas in Sanand, Bavla & Dholka to Gujarat Gas Ltd. in 2016
  • The original 2006 Act gave permission to Adani to supply gas in Ahmadabad area subject to passage of future acts
Government cuts second half borrowing to Rs.2.47 trillion
  • This is sharply lower than the Rs.3.2 trillion the government would have had to borrow to meet its full year target
  • In terms of maturity profile, nearly 70% of the total borrowings will have a maturity of more than 10 years
MCA to probe the accounts and operations of Vakrangee
  • The stock which had become the darling of the bourses lost nearly all its value in the last year
  • The MCA will do a detailed probe into Vakrangee’s operations and the reason for the resignation of the auditors
Infibeam cracks 73% on Friday after key corporate governance issues raised
  • A WhatsApp message began the rout after it was mentioned that Infibeam had given Rs.135 crore of inter group loans
  • While the news of the loan is correct, the company has denied any concerns about liquidity and transparency
SEBI asks mutual funds to be cautious with DHFL and Indiabulls bonds
  • SEBI wants to avoid a repeat of what happened in the case of IL&FS bonds and Amtek Auto bonds in the past
  • Since both these companies are vulnerable to debt market worries, debt funds have been asked to stay cautious
Jet Airways defers salaries to its pilots for the month of August
  • Jet gave another indication of its liquidity problems by deferring part of the pilot salaries till further notice
  • The liquidity problem is an outcome of stiff price competition and higher prices of ATF
Aadhar verdict is bad news for Fintech companies and new age banks
  • The outcome of the verdict is still not clear but apparently banks cannot insist on Aadhar data for accounts
  • Many new age banks had expanded their base sharply in the last couple of years with the help of Aadhar e-authentication
India raises tariffs on 19 items classified as non-essential goods
  • The list of items includes products like ACs, refrigerators, washing machines, diamonds and ATF
  • The purpose is to curb imports and to also to apply brakes on the falling rupee, which is closer to 73/$
Reuters poll hints at 25 basis points hike by RBI in its October policy
  • According to economists, the RBI may be constrained to hike rates by 25 bps in the light of inflation and weak rupee
  • The Fed decision to hike the rates may also be instrumental in influencing the RBI to hike rates in October
Brent Crude crossed $82/bbl during the week on Iran concerns
  • With just one month to go for Iran to be cut out of the global oil market due to US sanctions, oil markets are worried
  • OPEC nations have already refused to cut production in anticipation that an output boost may be required soon
RBI disappointed the bond markets with just Rs.10,000 crore OMO
  • The idea of the OMO was to reduce the liquidity crunch in the call money markets which has a deficit of Rs.1.40 trillion
  • The OMO was too small by that standard and hence it was unlikely to really impact rates in the bond market
After oil and bank, now power giants will be forced to take over smaller firms
  • The government will start this process by selling its stake in SJVN to NTPC to ostensibly add a hydro franchise to NTPC
  • In another deal, the government will also to look to consolidate PFC under the aegis of REC
First REIT likely to be launched by Blackstone and Embassy
  • While REITs were first allowed in 2014, it took another 2 years for the government to clarify on its pass-through tax status
  • Embassy group, in association with Blackstone, will put 33 million SFT of office and hospitality space in the REIT
World Gold Council expects 25% growth in gold demand in 2Q
  • WGC expects the higher agricultural incomes post MSP to drive the demand for gold in the second half of the year
  • This impact is likely to be immediately visible as 70% of the gold demand comes from rural areas
US and China go ahead with tariffs and counter tariffs on each other
  • US took its total import tariffable goods from China to $250 billion and China took it to $110 billion
  • Recently India also imposed import tariffs and we could see this spreading quick and fast